The Vodafone-Idea amalgamated entity is expected to encounter a hard time defending its share in the market and holding on to its elevated-ARPU data users. This is predicted as the entity might be not able to make similar capex infusions in increasing 4G network capacity for vying Jio Infocomm and Airtel owing to its sizeable combined debt levels and high leverage, experts claimed to the media.
“The Vodafone-Idea amalgamated firm will find itself grappled to spend in the business due to high leverage,” claimed Credit Suisse to the media in an interview.
In turn, brokerage JM Financial hopes that the Vodafone-Idea merged firm to begin on a weaker-than-anticipated wicket with an average debt predicted at $1,150 Billion (almost Rs 1.15 Lakh Crore), especially with financials from Idea Cellular carrying on to drop sharply ahead of its amalgamation with Vodafone India that is almost to conclude.
Kumar Birla-controlled Idea this week clocked a Rs 263.6 Crore net profit in the quarter for June, majorly due to one-time outstanding gain from its captive towers’ sale business to American Tower Corp. Without this, the company might have went through a great loss, given the noteworthy deterioration in its working performance, mirrored in the 34.5% sequential drop in Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation & amortization) to Rs 659.5 Crore in the quarter for April–June, analysts claimed.
Shares of Idea dropped more than 6% to conclude at Rs 54.90 this week, a day after the firm reported a feeble working performance in the June quarter.
On a similar note, Bank of America-Merrill Lynch claimed that the amalgamated entity will be vulnerable to losses in market share since both Bharti & Jio are ahead of Idea & Vodafone in data investment, and are expected to poach their users. Brokerage JP Morgan claimed that both Vodafone India & Idea have showed the archetypal conservative behavior of 2 debt-burdened companies ahead of a noteworthy merger.